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MARKETS: A weaker jobs print gave stocks and Bitcoin a boost, but Ray Salmond is watching the Fed. The Crypto Market Analyst says the data has pushed expectations for a September rate hike largely off the table.
A weaker U.S. jobs report lifted both stock markets and Bitcoin, and analysts say it has moved expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike largely off the table.
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What happened
A weaker U.S. jobs report lifted both stock markets and Bitcoin, and analysts say it has moved expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike largely off the table.
Confirmed
Global impact / market context
Lower job growth suggests the economy may be cooling, which can reduce pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates; lower rates tend to support risk assets like equities and cryptocurrencies.
Analyst inference
Investors had been pricing in a possible September rate hike; the softer jobs data removed that risk, prompting a rally in equities and a price jump for Bitcoin as investors seek higher‑yielding assets.
Analyst inference
What to watch
- Future U.S. employment reports to see if the labor market continues to weaken, which could further lower rate‑hike expectations. Proposed
- Federal Reserve statements for any change in policy outlook, as a shift could quickly reverse the rally in stocks and Bitcoin. Proposed
- Bitcoin price volatility, since a sustained lower‑rate environment may keep demand for the cryptocurrency elevated. Proposed
Affected assets
- BTC — Bitcoin