News
Public · Published
Bitcoin Broke the Cycle Theory (And It Happened Twice)
Bitcoin reached a high near $126,000 in October 2025, then fell below $60,000 only eight months later, according to the article. Both moves happened sooner than the four-year cycle theory predicted.
Published:
Updated:
What happened
Bitcoin reached a high near $126,000 in October 2025, then fell below $60,000 only eight months later, according to the article. Both moves happened sooner than the four-year cycle theory predicted.
Confirmed
Global impact / market context
If Bitcoin's price peaks and bottoms arrive earlier than the four-year cycle suggests, investors who time buys and sells around that pattern may misjudge when to act, which can mean missed gains or larger losses.
Analyst inference
Bitcoin's price swings affect how much cash investors are willing to put into crypto. A faster-than-expected drop can push them toward safer assets and reduce demand for related products and companies.
Analyst inference
What to watch
- Watch whether Bitcoin's price stays below $60,000 or moves back above the October 2025 high near $126,000, since those are the levels named in the article. Confirmed
- Investors may reconsider using the four-year cycle theory as a guide for when to buy or sell Bitcoin, given the article says the pattern failed twice. Proposed
- A continued early decline could lead crypto companies to cut spending, reduce staff, or hold more cash, because falling prices often shrink revenue and make borrowed money harder to repay. Analyst inference
Affected assets
- BTC — Bitcoin