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BTC price risks $80K loss into FOMC, earnings: Three things to know in Bitcoin this week

Bitcoin is fighting to hold $80,000 support as October ends. The Federal Reserve meets Wednesday, with markets seeing over 90% odds rates stay in the current 3.75-4% range. South Korea's KOSPI index resumed falling before major US earnings.

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What happened

Bitcoin is fighting to hold $80,000 support as October ends. The Federal Reserve meets Wednesday, with markets seeing over 90% odds rates stay in the current 3.75-4% range. South Korea's KOSPI index resumed falling before major US earnings.

Confirmed

Global impact / market context

Holding $80,000 matters because a break lower could push traders to sell to limit losses, adding downward pressure. The Fed decision and US earnings also shape whether investors keep money in risky assets like Bitcoin or move it to safer holdings.

Analyst inference

Bitcoin is on track to end October down 4%, repeating 2025's performance, with $80,000 support looking weak. Oil above $100 a barrel and expected December rate-hike odds suggest borrowed money stays costly, which can reduce cash available for speculative assets like Bitcoin.

Analyst inference

What to watch

  1. The Fed announces its rate decision Wednesday, and Chair Kevin Warsh speaks at a press conference; markets expect rates to stay in the 3.75-4% range. Confirmed
  2. Watch whether officials signal a 0.25% rate hike for December, since FedWatch data shows consensus favoring a hike at that meeting, which could raise borrowing costs. Proposed
  3. Watch whether $80,000 support breaks as US earnings and KOSPI weakness unfold; a failure could trigger stop-loss selling and shift investor positioning away from Bitcoin. Analyst inference

Affected assets

  • BTC — Bitcoin

Evidence