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NYDIG: Bitcoin Could Bottom Near $38,000–$39,000 If Past Bear Markets Repeat NYDIG said Bitcoin's 2025–2026 drawdown is increasingly resembling the four-year cycle corrections seen in 2014, 2018 and 2022. If the current decline follows the depth and duration of previous bear
NYDIG said Bitcoin's current decline resembles the four‑year cycle corrections of 2014, 2018 and 2022 and that the cryptocurrency could find a bottom near $38,000‑$39,000 if past bear markets repeat.
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What happened
NYDIG said Bitcoin’s current decline resembles the four‑year cycle corrections of 2014, 2018 and 2022 and that the cryptocurrency could find a bottom near $38,000‑$39,000 if past bear markets repeat.
Confirmed
Global impact / market context
If Bitcoin does bottom in that range, investors may see a lower entry point for future price gains, which could affect portfolio allocations, risk assessments, and the attractiveness of crypto‑related funds.
Analyst inference
The comment comes as Bitcoin continues a multi‑year downtrend that mirrors previous bear cycles, suggesting the market may be approaching a historically typical low point before a potential recovery.
Analyst inference
What to watch
- Watch Bitcoin’s price movement around the $38,000‑$39,000 level; a sustained hold could signal the start of a new upward phase after the bear market. Analyst inference
- Monitor the duration of the current decline; if it matches the length of past four‑year corrections, it may reinforce the cycle‑based bottom estimate. Analyst inference
- Track institutional sentiment, especially from firms like NYDIG, because their outlook can influence investor confidence and capital flows into crypto assets. Analyst inference
Affected assets
- BTC — Bitcoin