INSIGHT: @Jamie1coutts of @realvision on whether Bitcoin has found its floor. Volatility is down 50% from the last cycle, so on that basis this price zone could be near a bottom. He's watching a bullish divergence build on longer timeframes even as short-term trend signals

What happened

Bitcoin’s volatility has fallen 50% compared with the previous market cycle, leading Jamie Coutts to suggest the current price range may be near a bottom as he notes a bullish divergence forming on longer charts while short‑term signals stay weak.

Confirmed

Global impact / market context

Lower volatility can signal reduced price swings, making the market feel more stable and potentially attracting risk‑averse investors. If the price is near a bottom, a rebound could boost Bitcoin’s price and improve sentiment for crypto assets.

Analyst inference

Crypto markets have been quieter after the last cycle’s sharp moves, with Bitcoin leading the trend. A calmer environment may encourage capital inflows, while any upside from a bottom could lift related tokens and DeFi projects.

Analyst inference

What to watch

1. Whether the bullish divergence on longer timeframes continues, which would suggest upward momentum building despite short‑term weakness. Proposed
2. Changes in Bitcoin’s volatility levels; a further drop could reinforce the floor view, while a rise might signal renewed turbulence. Proposed
3. Short‑term trend indicators such as moving averages or momentum oscillators, as they could confirm or contradict the longer‑term bullish signal. Proposed

Affected assets

• BTC — Bitcoin

Evidence

• x.com