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Bitcoin short-term holders sell at loss for first time in 72 days

For the first time in 72 days, Bitcoin short-term holders sent coins to exchanges at a loss rather than a profit. On October 27, 2026, the net profit metric for these inflows fell to -18,600 BTC, with only 16% of inflows in profit.

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What happened

For the first time in 72 days, Bitcoin short-term holders sent coins to exchanges at a loss rather than a profit. On October 27, 2026, the net profit metric for these inflows fell to -18,600 BTC, with only 16% of inflows in profit.

Confirmed

Global impact / market context

Short-term holders bought recently, so their cost is near the current price of about $80,000. Selling at a loss signals fading confidence, which can add downward pressure as more of these holders decide to exit rather than wait for a recovery.

Analyst inference

About 70% of short-term holder supply was in profit as of October 26, down from near 100% in late September. That drop in cushion means modest price declines can push more recent buyers underwater and prompt further loss-driven selling.

Analyst inference

What to watch

  1. Watch whether the net profit metric for short-term holder exchange inflows stays negative or turns positive, since it moved from +10,400 BTC a week earlier to -18,600 BTC. Confirmed
  2. Traders should consider tracking the share of profitable short-term holder inflows, which fell from 75% to 16%, as a gauge of whether sellers are capitulating or stabilizing. Proposed
  3. If Bitcoin's price stays near $80,000, more short-term holders may slip underwater, so watch whether loss-driven exchange inflows grow and add selling pressure. Analyst inference

Affected assets

  • BTC — Bitcoin

Evidence