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Analyst Revives Bitcoin's 500-Day Halving Rule as a Buy Signal While BTC Sits 32% Off Its All-Time High
Analyst CryptoGoos is telling traders to think about buying Bitcoin about 500 days before its next halving, expected in April 2028. He posted on X that Bitcoin's 500-day halving rule remains intact, with smart wallets buying heavily around 500 days before each halving.
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What happened
Analyst CryptoGoos is telling traders to think about buying Bitcoin about 500 days before its next halving, expected in April 2028. He posted on X that Bitcoin's 500-day halving rule remains intact, with smart wallets buying heavily around 500 days before each halving.
Confirmed
Global impact / market context
If large holders really buy about 500 days before a halving, then following that pattern could push more money into Bitcoin earlier than usual. That can lift demand and prices before the supply of new coins is actually cut, changing when investors choose to buy.
Analyst inference
Bitcoin trades about 32% below its all-time high, so the analyst's buy call comes after a big drop. The next halving is not expected until April 2028, meaning this signal points to positioning many months ahead of any actual change in new coin supply.
Analyst inference
What to watch
- CryptoGoos says smart wallets are heavily accumulating BTC around 500 days before each halving, which means larger holders are buying. Confirmed
- The analyst urges traders to consider buying Bitcoin about 500 days before the next halving, now anticipated in April 2028. Proposed
- Watch whether Bitcoin stays about 32% below its all-time high, because that gap may shape how much money investors commit to this early buy idea. Analyst inference
Affected assets
- BTC — Bitcoin
- USDC — USD Coin
- BTCUSD — Bitcoin USD (BTCFi)
- USDT — Tether
- TUSD — TrueUSD