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DeepSeek founder gives timeline for when China will phase out Nvidia

DeepSeek founder Liang Wenfeng told investors that China's shift away from Nvidia hardware has reached a turning point and that chip supply, the last obstacle, should be resolved within a year.

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What happened

DeepSeek founder Liang Wenfeng told investors that China’s shift away from Nvidia hardware has reached a turning point and that chip supply, the last obstacle, should be resolved within a year.

Confirmed

Global impact / market context

A successful phase‑out would boost Chinese chip makers, reduce reliance on foreign technology, and could cut Nvidia’s growth, affecting investors in both markets.

Analyst inference

China is pushing to replace Nvidia GPUs with domestic chips after U.S. export limits, aiming for self‑reliance in AI hardware, which could reshape global chip demand.

Analyst inference

What to watch

  1. Whether Chinese chip manufacturers can increase production to meet AI demand within the next twelve months, removing the supply bottleneck. Analyst inference
  2. The speed at which Chinese firms adopt home‑grown AI chips instead of Nvidia GPUs, influencing domestic AI development. Analyst inference
  3. Nvidia’s revenue and stock response to a potential decline in Chinese sales as domestic alternatives gain market share. Analyst inference

Evidence