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Bitcoin Flashes 'End of Bear' Signal as Cost Basis Crossover Suggests Final Bear Market Phase
Bitcoin's short‑term holder cost basis fell below the adjusted long‑term holder level, creating a crossover that analysts say signals the end of the bear market's final phase.
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What happened
Bitcoin’s short‑term holder cost basis fell below the adjusted long‑term holder level, creating a crossover that analysts say signals the end of the bear market’s final phase.
Confirmed
Global impact / market context
When short‑term holders pay less than long‑term holders, it suggests buying pressure from newer investors, which can lift prices and improve market sentiment for those holding Bitcoin.
Analyst inference
The crossover mirrors past Bitcoin cycles where similar cost‑basis shifts preceded price recoveries, indicating the current downtrend may be winding down and setting up a potential rally.
Analyst inference
What to watch
- If Bitcoin’s price rises above key resistance levels, it could confirm the bullish shift and attract more short‑term buyers. Analyst inference
- Changes in the long‑term holder cost basis will show whether the crossover is sustained or reverses, affecting market momentum. Analyst inference
- Regulatory announcements or macro‑economic data that impact risk appetite may either reinforce or undermine the emerging bullish signal. Analyst inference
Affected assets
- BTC — Bitcoin