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What to expect from Lennox's (LII) Q3 earnings

Lennox International, a climate control company, reports earnings Wednesday before the market opens. Last quarter it had revenue of $1.55 billion, up 3% from a year earlier, missing analyst revenue expectations. Analysts expect revenue to grow 10.7% this quarter.

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What happened

Lennox International, a climate control company, reports earnings Wednesday before the market opens. Last quarter it had revenue of $1.55 billion, up 3% from a year earlier, missing analyst revenue expectations. Analysts expect revenue to grow 10.7% this quarter.

Confirmed

Global impact / market context

Investors will watch whether Lennox can reverse last year's 4.8% revenue decline and meet the expected 10.7% growth. The company has repeatedly missed revenue estimates, so a miss could weigh on the stock, while a beat could restore confidence in its sales momentum.

Analyst inference

Peers Apogee and Simpson already posted third-quarter revenue growth and beat estimates, with Apogee shares rising 15.3%. That suggests building products demand may be holding up, which could support Lennox's sales but also raises expectations that it should deliver similar results.

Analyst inference

What to watch

  1. Lennox's reported revenue and whether it reaches the 10.7% year-on-year growth analysts expect, compared with last year's 4.8% decline in the same quarter. Confirmed
  2. Whether Lennox's full-year earnings per share guidance, a profit measure per share, meets analysts' expectations after last quarter's significant guidance miss, which is a key investor concern. Proposed
  3. Whether Lennox follows Apogee and Simpson in beating revenue estimates, which could signal building products demand is strong and support the stock after repeated past misses. Analyst inference

Evidence