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Arthur Hayes Says Bitcoin Can Hit $1M by 2030 as 'Hated Rally' Begins
Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by year-end and $1 million by 2030, driven by U.S. yield curve control. He calls this a 'hated rally' and suggests focusing on Ethereum as a risk-reward trade.
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What happened
Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by year-end and $1 million by 2030, driven by U.S. yield curve control. He calls this a 'hated rally' and suggests focusing on Ethereum as a risk-reward trade.
Confirmed
Global impact / market context
If the U.S. controls bond yields, it may print money, weakening the dollar. That could push investors toward Bitcoin as a store of value, potentially raising its price and boosting crypto-related companies and assets.
Analyst inference
Bitcoin and Ethereum prices often move with investor expectations about government policy. Yield curve control, which means managing interest rates by buying bonds, could increase cash available in markets, supporting riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.
Analyst inference
What to watch
- Watch whether Bitcoin approaches $150,000 by year-end, as Hayes predicts, which would confirm the start of his expected 'hated rally'. Confirmed
- Consider monitoring Ethereum's performance relative to Bitcoin, since Hayes highlights ETH as a better risk-reward trade, meaning potentially higher profit per risk taken. Proposed
- Track U.S. policy signals on yield curve control, as any shift could directly influence crypto prices by changing the dollar's value and investor appetite for digital assets. Analyst inference
Affected assets
- ENA — Ethena
- BTC — Bitcoin
- ETH — Ethereum