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Trump Bragged About Intel Stock Gains. U.S. Stake Lost $11 Billion

Intel fell 29% Friday after issuing a disappointing fourth-quarter outlook, erasing about $11 billion from the U.S. government's stake. At Friday's $65.76 close, the stake was still up nearly $20 billion compared with its $20.47 average cost.

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What happened

Intel fell 29% Friday after issuing a disappointing fourth-quarter outlook, erasing about $11 billion from the U.S. government’s stake. At Friday’s $65.76 close, the stake was still up nearly $20 billion compared with its $20.47 average cost.

Confirmed

Global impact / market context

The sharp decline shows how a weak outlook can outweigh a quarter that beat profit estimates. Lower PC demand, high memory prices and supply problems can weigh on Intel’s sales and costs, while growth in data-center and AI sales offers a countervailing source of revenue.

Analyst inference

Intel’s results were mixed: it slightly missed sales estimates even as data-center and AI sales rose nearly 80% to $7.3 billion. Analysts also split, with one upgrading the stock to buy and three downgrading it to neutral, reflecting differing views on its outlook.

Confirmed

What to watch

  1. Watch whether Intel’s next outlook addresses weak PC demand, high memory prices and supply problems; these factors could shape sales, costs and the company’s ability to meet expectations. Analyst inference
  2. Track whether data-center and AI sales continue growing and whether server processor units meet the CEO’s forecast of 30% growth in both 2026 and 2027. Analyst inference
  3. Note whether analyst ratings change after the outlook: New Street upgraded Intel to buy, while Bank of America, Roth Capital Partners and Seaport Research Partners downgraded it to neutral. Confirmed

Evidence