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Bloomberg's Eric Balchunas: Bitcoin ETFs Will Triple Gold

Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas said Bitcoin ETFs, such as IBIT, will triple gold's assets, citing that IBIT attracted a thousand institutional filers in its first year versus a typical new ETF's ten. He discussed this in a Bitcoin Magazine interview.

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What happened

Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas said Bitcoin ETFs, such as IBIT, will triple gold's assets, citing that IBIT attracted a thousand institutional filers in its first year versus a typical new ETF's ten. He discussed this in a Bitcoin Magazine interview.

Confirmed

Global impact / market context

If Bitcoin ETFs grow to triple gold's size, more mainstream money could flow into Bitcoin. This would make it easier for everyday investors to buy Bitcoin through familiar fund accounts, potentially increasing its value and price stability over time.

Analyst inference

Bitcoin has historically faced exchange risk, where platforms like FTX failed. Balchunas suggests ETFs solve this intermediary problem, meaning investors can hold Bitcoin through regulated funds instead of trusting unregulated exchanges, reducing risk and building confidence for large institutions.

Analyst inference

What to watch

  1. Watch whether Bitcoin ETF inflows continue at record levels, as Balchunas highlighted these inflows as a key factor driving his prediction that Bitcoin ETFs will triple gold over time. Confirmed
  2. Investors should monitor the 13F breakdown, which shows which endowments, pensions, family offices, and banks hold Bitcoin ETFs, to gauge how much large institutions are committing. Proposed
  3. Watch for the two metrics Balchunas mentioned that will decide whether the largest capital pools commit, as their approval could accelerate Bitcoin ETF growth and affect gold's competitive position. Analyst inference

Affected assets

  • BTC — Bitcoin

Evidence