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Stocks get AI lift, kiwi slides on RBNZ's surprise hold

Asian stocks rose on renewed AI enthusiasm ahead of US earnings. South Korea's Kospi jumped more than 6% after chipmaker SK Hynix reported a more than seven-fold jump in quarterly profit and said it would return about $75 billion to shareholders this year.

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What happened

Asian stocks rose on renewed AI enthusiasm ahead of US earnings. South Korea's Kospi jumped more than 6% after chipmaker SK Hynix reported a more than seven-fold jump in quarterly profit and said it would return about $75 billion to shareholders this year.

Confirmed

Global impact / market context

Strong SK Hynix profit and its $75 billion shareholder return show AI chip demand is producing real cash, which supports technology stock prices. But upcoming Alphabet and Microsoft results must show returns that justify heavy AI capital spending, or enthusiasm could fade.

Analyst inference

Investors are weighing AI as a growth opportunity against the borrowed money needed to fund it. Credit markets are already charging more for weaker balance sheets, so companies that cannot fund AI capital spending from cash flow face higher costs.

Analyst inference

What to watch

  1. Alphabet and Microsoft report earnings after the US market close, and investors will look for evidence of returns that justify the hefty cost of the AI build-out. Confirmed
  2. Watch whether major companies confirm or affirm their AI capital spending plans, since the article says that looks likely and would signal demand remains reasonably strong. Proposed
  3. Watch financing conditions for weaker balance sheet companies, because credit markets have become more challenging for them, which could raise borrowed money costs and pressure AI spending. Analyst inference

Evidence

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