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Amazon's AWS Just Gave Investors A Big Growth Signal — And Gene Munster Thinks It's Only The Beginning

Amazon's AWS grew 39% year over year in the September quarter. Management guided for at least 40% AWS growth in both 2027 and 2028 and said the cloud business could eventually reach $1 trillion in annual revenue. Analyst Gene Munster called the unusually long-term outlook a signal of confidence in AI-related demand.

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What happened

Amazon’s AWS grew 39% year over year in the September quarter. Management guided for at least 40% AWS growth in both 2027 and 2028 and said the cloud business could eventually reach $1 trillion in annual revenue. Analyst Gene Munster called the unusually long-term outlook a signal of confidence in AI-related demand.

Confirmed

Global impact / market context

If AWS sustains the growth management outlined, cloud revenue could expand substantially, supporting Amazon’s overall sales. A longer forecast may also indicate confidence in demand for AI computing, which could shape investor expectations for AWS growth and Amazon’s spending on the infrastructure needed to serve customers.

Analyst inference

AWS grew 39% in the September quarter, roughly in line with expectations, while the outlook extended two years ahead. Munster said this unusually long view matters more than the quarterly growth figure; the article reports no specific change in revenue, costs, or capital spending.

Analyst inference

What to watch

  1. Compare future AWS growth with management’s minimum 40% outlook for 2027 and 2028; sustained growth would support the view that demand is lasting. Analyst inference
  2. Watch whether Amazon provides further detail on AI-related demand and the investments needed to support it, since the article gives no spending figures. Analyst inference
  3. Track whether AWS approaches the possible $1 trillion in annual revenue mentioned by management; the article presents this as an eventual possibility, not a current result. Confirmed

Evidence