CLARITY Act Passage Odds Crash to 10% as Senate Clock Ticks Down

What happened

Galaxy Digital lowered its estimate for the CLARITY Act to pass in 2026 to 10%, citing ongoing Senate disagreements and a shortened legislative schedule after the August break.

Confirmed

Global impact / market context

A lower chance of the CLARITY Act passing means slower or weaker regulation for crypto assets, which could keep uncertainty for investors and affect companies that depend on clearer rules.

Analyst inference

The CLARITY Act deals with cryptocurrency regulations. The article notes that House and Senate discussions have not reached agreement, and the Senate’s calendar is tight post‑August recess, which reduces legislative momentum.

Confirmed

What to watch

1. Whether Senate leaders will resolve the outstanding disputes before the next voting deadline. Analyst inference
2. Potential alternative regulatory proposals that could replace or supplement the CLARITY Act if it stalls. Analyst inference
3. Market reaction to the lowered probability, especially in crypto‑focused stocks and tokens. Analyst inference

Evidence

• thecoinrepublic.com