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Bitcoin Price Prediction: $10 Billion of BTC and ETH Option Expiry Hitting the Market Today

Around $10 billion of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options expired today, leaving Bitcoin price near $63,888, close to the "max pain" level where most option holders would prefer the price to settle.

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What happened

Around $10 billion of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options expired today, leaving Bitcoin price near $63,888, close to the “max pain” level where most option holders would prefer the price to settle.

Confirmed

Global impact / market context

The large expiry can force market makers to adjust their hedges, which may push prices up or down. Traders watch the max‑pain level because it often signals short‑term pressure on the asset’s price.

Analyst inference

Bitcoin is trading just below its recent high, and the options market’s reset could set the tone for the next move. Similar dynamics often affect Ethereum, given its linked options exposure.

Analyst inference

What to watch

  1. If dealers increase hedging purchases, Bitcoin could rise above the max‑pain level, supporting bullish momentum. Proposed
  2. Conversely, if dealers sell to unwind positions, the price may drop, creating short‑term downside risk. Proposed
  3. Watch Ethereum’s price action, as its option expiry size is tied to Bitcoin’s and may move in tandem. Proposed

Affected assets

  • BTC — Bitcoin
  • ETH — Ethereum

Evidence