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Grayscale: Bitcoin Bear Market Could Last Until September or October Grayscale said Bitcoin's current bear market could continue until September or October if the traditional four-year cycle holds, as previous downturns typically bottomed about a year after the market peak and
Grayscale said Bitcoin's current bear market may continue until September or October if the traditional four‑year cycle holds, because past downturns usually bottomed about a year after their peaks.
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What happened
Grayscale said Bitcoin’s current bear market may continue until September or October if the traditional four‑year cycle holds, because past downturns usually bottomed about a year after their peaks.
Confirmed
Global impact / market context
If Bitcoin stays low for several more months, investors could see prolonged price weakness, which may reduce demand for crypto‑related funds and limit new capital flowing into the digital‑asset sector.
Analyst inference
Bitcoin’s price has been falling since its recent high, and the four‑year cycle—linked to halving events—has historically signaled a year‑long decline after peaks, shaping expectations for the broader crypto market.
Analyst inference
What to watch
- Whether Bitcoin’s price reaches a sustained low near the projected September‑October window, indicating the bear market’s bottom. Analyst inference
- Changes in inflows or outflows from Grayscale’s Bitcoin trusts, which reflect investor sentiment toward the crypto market. Analyst inference
- Any regulatory announcements that could affect Bitcoin trading or custody, potentially altering market dynamics during the expected downturn. Analyst inference
Affected assets
- BTC — Bitcoin