🇺🇸 NEW: The fate of the CLARITY Act hinges on Trump's ethics, and the odds aren't looking great. Prediction market volumes hit new highs, and more. Hodler's Digest via Cointelegraph Magazine

What happened

The future of the CLARITY Act now depends on the outcome of ethics investigations involving former President Trump, and prediction‑market trading volumes have risen to record levels.

Confirmed

Global impact / market context

If ethics issues derail the CLARITY Act, crypto‑related regulations could stay uncertain, affecting companies that need clear rules to invest or expand. Higher prediction‑market activity shows growing public interest in betting on political outcomes.

Analyst inference

The surge in prediction‑market volume reflects heightened speculation on political risk, while lawmakers debate the CLARITY Act, a proposal aimed at clarifying how digital assets are treated under U.S. law.

Analyst inference

What to watch

1. Progress of ethics investigations into Trump, because any finding could directly influence whether the CLARITY Act moves forward in Congress. Confirmed
2. Legislative milestones for the CLARITY Act, such as committee votes or sponsor statements, which will signal the bill’s likelihood of becoming law. Analyst inference
3. Continued growth in prediction‑market volumes, indicating how market participants price political risk and potentially affect crypto‑related sentiment. Confirmed

Evidence

• x.com