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Mark Moss: The Bitcoin Endgame - BTC to $1 Million by 2030

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates, but Bitcoin continued to climb. Mark Moss, host of the Market Disruptors podcast, said most people are misreading why long-term rates are rising and argued Bitcoin benefits from both currency debasement and a bullish technological future.

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What happened

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates, but Bitcoin continued to climb. Mark Moss, host of the Market Disruptors podcast, said most people are misreading why long-term rates are rising and argued Bitcoin benefits from both currency debasement and a bullish technological future.

Confirmed

Global impact / market context

If Moss is right that a strong economy is pushing long-term rates higher rather than inflation fears alone, then Bitcoin could keep attracting investors who want protection from currency debasement while also betting on technology growth, potentially supporting demand for BTC.

Analyst inference

Bitcoin climbing while the Fed raises rates goes against the usual pattern where higher rates hurt risky assets. Moss points to a flat yield curve, bank lending, and a high 10-year Treasury yield as signs that something different is driving long-term rates.

Analyst inference

What to watch

  1. Watch whether the Fed pauses rate increases in October, as Moss suggested in his chapter titles, because a pause could change how investors compare Bitcoin with bonds and cash. Confirmed
  2. Moss proposes that Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2030, so track whether his debasement trade and technological future arguments gain traction among investors over the coming years. Proposed
  3. Monitor bank lending activity and the 10-year Treasury yield, since Moss links them to why long-term rates are rising and whether Bitcoin's rise alongside rates continues. Analyst inference

Affected assets

  • BTC — Bitcoin

Evidence