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CLARITY Act Odds Crash to 10% Before Senate Returns: Galaxy
Galaxy Research now says the CLARITY Act has a 10% chance of passing this year, before a possible Senate procedural vote in September, after ethics rule disputes and bank lobbying weakened support.
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What happened
Galaxy Research now says the CLARITY Act has a 10% chance of passing this year, before a possible Senate procedural vote in September, after ethics rule disputes and bank lobbying weakened support.
Confirmed
Global impact / market context
The low odds create uncertainty for crypto companies that were counting on the bill to clarify digital‑asset regulation, which may delay investment decisions, compliance planning, and partnership deals.
Analyst inference
U.S. regulators are seeking clearer crypto rules, and the stalled CLARITY Act leaves the market without a definitive framework, affecting price volatility and overall investor sentiment.
Analyst inference
What to watch
- The outcome of the September Senate procedural vote; a positive result could modestly improve the bill’s odds and encourage firms to start compliance work. Proposed
- Any new ethics rule resolutions; clearing these disputes could restore some legislative support and raise the probability of passage. Proposed
- Bank lobbying activity; reduced pressure from banks might make lawmakers more receptive, potentially increasing the bill’s chances. Proposed