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Public · Published
Coinbase's Hyperliquid Deal Sparks JPMorgan Cuts for Circle and COIN Forecasts
JPMorgan lowered its earnings forecasts for Circle and Coinbase after learning that Hyperliquid will receive ninety percent of the yield from USDC reserves held on its roughly six‑billion‑dollar balance, which now represents about eight percent of the total USDC supply.
Published:
Updated:
What happened
JPMorgan lowered its earnings forecasts for Circle and Coinbase after learning that Hyperliquid will receive ninety percent of the yield from USDC reserves held on its roughly six‑billion‑dollar balance, which now represents about eight percent of the total USDC supply.
Confirmed
Global impact / market context
The forecast cuts indicate that most of the earnings from USDC reserves will go to Hyperliquid instead of Circle and Coinbase, which could reduce their revenue, profit and cash flow, potentially lowering their stock valuations and limiting future spending.
Analyst inference
USDC is a widely used stablecoin, a digital dollar that keeps its price stable; changes in how its reserve earnings are shared can affect earnings across the crypto‑finance sector, including payment platforms and decentralized finance (DeFi) services that rely on stablecoins.
Analyst inference
What to watch
- Updates from JPMorgan on whether the earnings forecast cuts for Circle and Coinbase widen as more USDC yield is redirected to Hyperliquid. Analyst inference
- Growth in Hyperliquid’s share of USDC reserves, which could increase its influence over stablecoin revenue streams and affect competition among crypto firms. Analyst inference
- Regulatory attention to stablecoin revenue‑sharing arrangements, which may lead to new rules that change how yield is distributed among participants. Analyst inference
Affected assets
- USDC — USD Coin
- HYPE — Hyperliquid