Market Incident

Public · Developing

AI compiled from Infoway · 7 analyzed stories

October's Inflation Report Is Coming ... With a Key Number AWOL — WSJ

The Labor Department will release October inflation data on Tuesday, but cannot report the usual 12-month inflation rate because October 2025 prices were not measured during a government shutdown. It will report price levels and monthly changes; the article’s forecasters expect prices rose 0.3% from September, or 0.2% excluding food and energy.

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Updated:

What happened

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that U.S. consumer prices rose 0.4% in October from September, while prices excluding food and energy rose 0.3%. Both increases were above forecasts. The agency did not provide the usual year-over-year rate because last year’s shutdown prevented data collection.

Global impact / market context

The report showed price increases were still firm, which can affect expectations about interest rates and market conditions. Treasury yields rose after the report, and several stocks fell. The missing year-over-year figure also leaves investors without the usual comparison.

What to watch

  1. Check the next official inflation report for a year-over-year rate, since October’s figure was not available.
  2. Check whether monthly inflation, especially prices excluding food and energy, rises or eases in the next report; this shows whether price pressure is changing.
  3. Check whether Treasury yields continue rising and whether the reported stock declines persist, since both moved after the report.

Affected assets

  • JELD-WEN
  • Plug Power
  • U.S. Treasury securities

Evidence